Monday, February 25, 2013

Prospect Countdown: #18 Chris Dwyer

18. Chris Dwyer Left Handed Pitcher

Chris Vleisides/Kansas City Royals
Age: 25
Position: LHP
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 215
B/T: R/L
Acquired: Drafted in the 4th Round of the Amateur Draft
From: Boston, MA

Paden Bennett (NR):  I didn't put Dwyer in my rankings because my patience has run out.  He is 25 years old and we haven't seen any improvement at all. In fact, he has just consistently gotten worse.  He doesn't have overpowering stuff and he walks too many.  That's not a combination for success.  So as excited as I was for Dwyer when he was a young prospect. I am down on him until he shows me something big.

Joe Cox (15)Chris Dwyer has had a rough career relative to what expectations were for him as a former top prospect in the organization.  Dwyer will turn 25 this season and time is running out for him to prove himself useful to the major league club.   The lefty has had a similar career path of former Royal Mike Montgomery in that he still could make a difference in the majors, but scouting reports and stats show that they are not the same pitchers they used to be. 

Dwyer had a very disappointing 2012 season split between AA and AAA, but the Royals still added them to the 40 man roster following the season to protect him from being lost in the Rule 5 draft.   Dwyer combined for a 5.58 ERA between levels and struggled with command at both levels.  In 23 starts, Dwyer allowed 23 home runs and was only able to strike out 33 batters in 50 innings.  There is little to be excited about based on his numbers, but he has maintained his health somewhat the last two years and is still a lefty with a major league skill set.  I don’t see Dwyer starting in the majors but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him in Kansas City at some point in 2013. 

Damion Mandalas (30):  Chris Dwyer made my personal top 30, but only just. The issues with Dwyer last year stemmed from a lack of consistency in his command that resulted in way too many big innings throughout the season. By the end of the season the lack of command was coupled by a dip in velocity and all of the sudden one had to wonder if Dwyer would even be salvageable as a useful bullpen piece.

Now the Dwyer is on the 40 man, the clock is only going to tick faster for him to put thing together. He'll likely continue to log innings as a starter, but a switch to the bullpen could occur quickly if he doesn't show quick progress in 2013. Dwyer reminds me a bit of Brandon Wood, in that he was a high round pick that performed well at the low levels. Eventually, I think Dwyer with shift to the pen like Wood, where he could be serviceable as a middle reliever.

Dan Ware (21):  Dwyer could be a lefty in the mix to see some time in Kansas City upon September's arrival (pending on the Royals record, injuries).  His first 2 professional seasons in the Royals organization were very promising, which made him well known to the front office.  The past 2 seasons, especially last year, Dwyer has taken a couple steps backwards.  In 2012, his strikeouts have gone downhill while the walks have been staying high and steady, and let's not forget the fact that he was shut down in August for his decrease in velocity.  During the offseason, the Royals added him to the 40-man rather than lose him to the Rule 5 draft, so for his sake, this is a good thing.  Chris needs to come into ST feeling 100% fresh and needs to impress if he wants to start off in Omaha.  I still have hope for Dwyer, but it's wearing thin.

Total Points: 27

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