Showing posts with label Jason Adam. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jason Adam. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Minor League Update - Northwest Arkansas Naturals


The Royals' Texas League affiliate is off to a rough start to 2014, sitting at 4-13 and in last place in the North Division. The club trails first place Springfield (STL) by five games, and is winless at home in seven tries thus far.

Among the biggest struggles for Northwest Arkansas is a 5.77 team ERA, which is a full two runs higher than the next closest club. Opponents have scored a staggering 115 runs – 39 more than the second worst team. Perhaps worse, 22 of those runs are unearned. Naturals pitchers have walked 81 hitters and have thrown 17 wild pitches, both the most in the eight-team Texas League.

As a team, the Naturals are hitting just .236/.323/.328 and have scored only 62 runs in 2014, the league’s second worst mark. Northwest Arkansas batters have hit just eight home runs, which also ranks second lowest in the league.

Individual Hitting
 
MiLB.com
Who’s Hot:

After going 1-for-16 to start the season, Jorge Bonifacio is now fourth in the Texas League with 12 RBI, just three off the pacesetter. The outfielder has five multi-hit ballgames in his last 10 starts and is hitting .310/.370/.429 since April 11. In all, Bonifacio has one home run with a line of .239/.338/.358.

Infield prospect Cheslor Cuthbert has a team-high 17 hits and 12 walks and ranks second on the club with seven RBI. In all, he is hitting .279/.392/.361.

Whit Merrifield is tied for the league lead with six doubles, three of which have come in his last four games. Over that period, the second baseman/left fielder has three multi-hit games and five RBI.

Who’s Not:

Lane Adams is on the rise with five hits in his last three games, but is still hitting just .224/.329/.284 in 74 plate appearances across 17 games.

Individual Pitching

Who’s Hot:

23-year old pitching prospect Sam Selman tossed five innings in his season debut April 11, in which he allowed just one unearned run. The lefty allowed just two hits and walked four. Across two starts, Selman is currently 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA.

Two of Tim Melville’s three starts have been very impressive. The 24-year old tossed four scoreless innings April 4 and five scoreless April 15. He allowed a combined three hits in the two outings. In all, the right-hander has a 2.77 ERA in 13 innings and has held opponents to a .133 batting average.

Relievers Cody Fassold and Andrew Triggs both have ERAs under 1.80 in six appearances apiece.

Who’s Not:

Basically, everyone else. Specifically:

Prospect Jason Adam has lost three games, tied for the most in the Texas League.
He was roughed up in his first start of the season, surrendering eight runs (six earned) in just three innings against Midland (OAK). He followed that outing with a two-hit performance and one earned run across four strong innings also against the RockHounds , but then surrendered ten hits to Springfield in his last start. The Cardinals score five runs, four of which were earned. Opponents are hitting .388 against Adam with right-handed hitters scorching him for a line of .545/.519/.773 in 23 April plate appearances.

Angel Baez has struck out 17 hitters in 10.2 innings, which ranks among the league’s leaders in K/9. Unfortunately, he has a 10.97 ERA this year across six relief appearances.

Noel Arguelles is tied for the league’s most walks with 13 and has a 14.09 ERA in his first 7.2 innings across six appearances.

Monday, March 31, 2014

Northwest Arkansas Naturals 2014 Preview

Defense
LF - Whit Merrifield
CF - Lane Adams
RF - Jorge Bonifacio
3B - Cheslor Cuthbert
SS - Orlando Calixte
2B - Justin Trapp*
1B - Mark Threlkeld*
C - Juan Graterol

Rotation
Jason Adam
Greg Billo*
Tim Melville
Noel Arguelles
Sugar Ray Marimon

Bench
C - Micah Gibbs*, C - Parker Morin*, IF - Angel Franco, IF - Yowill Espinal, OF - Ethan Chapman*,  OF - Roman Hernandez, OF - Edinson Rincon

Bullpen
Scott Alexander, Angel Baez*, Malcom Culver, Cody Fassold*, Andy Ferguson, Hassan Pena*, J.C. Sulbaran, Andrew Triggs

Notes:
  • There are 9 new faces that will put on a Naturals uniform for the 2014 season.  One of the more notable debuts is 23 year old pitcher Greg Billo.
  • To begin the year, the roster doesn't look all that great to those who pay attention to prospects and all things Minor Leagues, but with a fully loaded Wilmington Blue Rocks roster, there will be some big name players that could easily arrive in Springdale by mid-season (Dozier, Starling, Mondesi, Almonte, Manaea, etc.)
  • Top Prospect Kyle Zimmer, who ended last year's season with the Naturals, will stay in Arizona for extended Spring Training to get some work in while recovering from biceps tendinitis in his shoulder.  He is expected to join the Naturals on May 20th.
  • Jason Adam returns to the Naturals after throwing 144 innings in 2013.  Although Jason posted a career high K rate, he's coming off a disappointing year on the bump as he also logged career highs in ERA (5.13) and BB/9 (3.38).  As of now, his ceiling is that of a back-end starter.  His pitches are solid, but lack the flash as they once did back in his Instructional League days.  His fastball velocity has dipped the past couple seasons and if he can somehow work his way back to his rookie year throwing 98 mph, his status has a rotation candidate will rise drastically.
  • Adam won't be the only pitcher to watch at Arvest Ballpark.  Newcomer Greg Billo makes his Double-A debut coming off a successful 2013 campaign as he worked his back from Tommy John surgery.  In 40 innings for Lexington, he posted a 1.35 ERA, his best since 2011, 38 K's, 13 BB and 6 ER, along with a FIP of 2.93.  
  • Ranked as #4 in the Royals' Top 10 Prospects from Baseball America, RF Jorge Bonifacio will come back to Springdale for a second season only because age is definitely on his side.  The 20 year old has a pure swing with a lot of power potential.  Between Wilmington and a short stint with the Naturals in '13, his slash line was .298/.372/.429 with 4 HR and 55 RBI.  Scouts still say the power is there and will arrive soon.  It will be nice to see Bonifacio display that power in a full season at Arvest Ballpark.

Monday, February 24, 2014

Prospect Countdown: #14 Jason Adam

14. Jason Adam Right Handed Pitcher

royalsreview.com


Age: 23
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 219
B/T: R/R
Acquired: Drafted in the 5th Round of the 2010 Amateur Draft

2013 Rank: 9

2012 Rank: 11

2011 Rank: 19


Landon Adams (11): I saw Adam first hand quite a bit at the beginning of last season for the Northwest Arkansas Naturals. The experience was so disappointing that there was a time when I had all but mentally written him off as a future piece of a Kansas City rotation. However, Adam battled in 2014 and eventually was able to get his ERA all the way down o 5.19 to end the season and he was even better from a peripheral standpoint posting a 4.06 SIERA.

At this point Adam has solid stuff, but doesn't likely feature as anything more than a back of the rotation option. If he can somehow find the fastball that he flashed in the upper 90s during his first trip to instructs than his stock could quickly rise.

Adam had a strong showing in last year's Arizona Fall League and I think part of his problem last season was an unlucky start which he allowed to tailspin out of control. Hopefully, he can get off to a better start in 2014 and prove that he belongs in the top 10 prospects in the Royals system. If so, he would provide Kansas City with another near Major League ready arm to look at while trying to fill the three open spots in the 2015 rotation. 

Paden Bennett (20): I ranked Jason Adam the lowest because I just don't see him as becoming anything special at this point.  He does have some upside but I just don't see a ton.  Last season for Northwest Arkansas he had a 5.19 ERA and a 3.97 FIP.  He struggled with walks a little bit more last season than he has in the past, however his K rate did go up which was encouraging to see.  He is still only 22 and will probably start for the Naturals again this season so I hope that we continue to see progress in the strikeout department while lowering his walks.

Joe Cox (15):  Adam, a 2010 5th round pick for the Royals, is a local boy standing at 6-4 225 pounds.  He displays a low 90’s fastball with potential plus pitches in both his curve and change.  In 2013, Adam made the all-important jump to AA in 2013 with mixed results.  In 144 innings Adam posted a 5.19 ERA and a 3.97 FIP.  

Adam saw a lack of command he had yet to experience at the professional, walking 54 batters, hitting 15, along with 8 wild pitches.  Adam did post his highest K/9 of his minor league career at 7.88.  Adam may have had some bad luck with hit sequencing as he had a very poor 60.4 LOB%.  Adam is a young pitcher to monitor who has the upside of an innings eating back of rotation starter.  In 2014, it would be nice to see Adam regain his control without sacrificing much in the K department. 

Dan Ware (14):  Jason Adam showed some flashes of a potential front end starter with the Naturals in 2013.  Logging 144 innings and a career high 126 strikeouts, the 22 year old struggled with command, posting 54 walks with a BB/9 rate just above the Texas League average.  April was a month to forget, as he compiled an 0-2 record with an ugly 12.84 ERA in 5 starts to begin his Double-A stint.  

During May and June, although his combined record was just 3-6, he managed to drop his ERA, dramatically, to a more appealing 3.03.  Adam seemed to be rolling, but hit another wall in July, throwing 26.1 innings, logging a 7.18 ERA and a 21/15 K:BB.  The final month of the season ended on a good note for Adam, his best month of the season: 3-1 with a 2.83 ERA and tossing a 32/9 K:BB.

Adam has been playing in the Arizona Fall League this offseason.  For Peoria, he has logged 29 innings on the mound with a 2-2 record, 4.03 ERA and a 24/7 K:BB.  As long as he can work on command issues and throwing with consistent mechanics, he can gain back the 98 mph fastball he had in 2010.  I suspect Adam will get a few starts for NW Arkansas this coming season before the organization believes he has improved his command.


Nicholas Ian Allen (--): Generally, it is very difficult to project high school pitchers. As a local product, there was a lot of excitement about the big-bodied right-hander that threw in the mid 90s coming out of Overland Park, Kansas. However, after three seasons in the organization, the results have been less than thrilling.

Adam settled down and improved after an extremely rough start to 2013 in which he allowed five or more earned runs in each of his first four starts. While Adam battled all season, he was very inconsistent. The righty can put together a string of solid starts, then explode. He allowed six earned runs or more in six starts in 2013. Just when it looked like Adam could finish the year with an ERA below five, he allowed eight earned runs in just 2.1 innings August 26. He put together his best start of the year in the finale (four hits and no earned runs in seven innings), but it was not enough to cover up the up-and-down nature of the season.

There is still time for Jason Adam. However, at this point he allows far too many base runners. Adam allowed an alarming .277/.353/.409 slash line last season.  Most troubling to me, this has increased in each of his three professional seasons. In all, he has allowed .256/.319/.395 for his career. Those numbers must improve in 2014 for Adam to have any chance to reach his lofty potential. At this point, seeing him as a contributor out of the bullpen in Kansas City seems unlikely.


Total Points: 64

Wednesday, April 3, 2013

Northwest Arkansas Naturals Preview


Projected Lineup
CF - Brett Eibner
3B - Rey Navarro
SS - Orlando Calixte
1B - Matt Fields
C - Manny Pina
RF - Yem Prades
LF - Brian Fletcher
DH - Mitch Canham
2B - Alex McClure

Rotation
Noel Arguelles
Jason Adam
Sugar Ray Marimon
Yordano Ventura
J.C. Sulbaran

Bench
C - Juan Graterol, IF Whit Merrifield, OF Roman Hernandez

Bullpen
Yeliar Castro, Sam Runion, John Keck, Edwin Carl, Andy Ferguson, Santiago Garrido, Brooks Pounders,
Matt Ridings, Nick Rogers, Cole White

Notes on your Northwest Arkansas Naturals:
  • The lineup is definitely a buzz-kill to begin the 2013 season.  There are a couple names to keep track of, but mainly, if you want to see a good hitting lineup, don't expect anything special.  Brett Eibner returns to his native homeland of Arkansas, which should excite the people of Springdale down to Fayetteville.  Last season with the Blue Rocks, Eibner was unsuccessful in hitting above the Mendoza-Line, hitting a depressing .196, but managed to smack 15 HR and bring in 53 RBI.  Since 2007, only 10 Royals minor leaguers have hit double-digit HR in Wilmington, so Brett obviously brings some pop.  Unfortunately, he has one more season before he's Rule V Draft eligible, and if he doesn't take drastic steps in improving his hitting, he could easily get claimed in the draft.
  • Infielders Rey Navarro and Orlando Calixte will be others to watch.  Rey, 23, returns to NW Arkansas for a 3rd consecutive season.  Navarro will not hit for power, but has the ability to make decent contact, as he's hit .250 and .271 the past 2 seasons, respectively.  His stint with Omaha in 2012 was a nice surprise as he hit .300 in 60 plate appearances.  Rey is known for the glove, and since Calixte has arrived, he will have to make a move, most likely to 3B.  Orlando Calixte, 21, cracks our Top 10 prospect list as a 21 year old SS.  In 2012 for Wilmington, he posted a line of .281/.326/.426.  Like Navarro, Calixte is known for his play at SS and has tremendous range, but committed 46 errors at short last season in 556 opportunities.  Orlando is athletic enough to make a move elsewhere in the field, and if the fielding doesn't improve, a change in position could be inevitable.
  • If you want to see some good pitching, you've come to the right place.  Joining the Naturals this year are Top Prospects Jason Adam and Yordano Ventura.  Adam threw for Wilmington last season and was a solid workhorse for the team, throwing 158 innings in 27 starts, posting a 3.53 era.  In his 2 professional seasons, Adam has proven he can go deep into games and give the pen a rest and along with his 6'4" athletic frame, Jason shouldn't have too many problems for the Naturals.  
  • Ventura, 22, is #3 on our prospect list, and rightfully deserved.  Yordano had a good spring while pitching in the Royals rotation, and was mentioned as a candidate for the final spot in the rotation, before getting sent down to NW Arkansas.  Ventura will excite fans this year with his electrifying fastball that has touched 102 mph.  If all goes well, "Ace" should spend about half the season in Springdale before moving up to Omaha.  Hypothetically speaking, if the Royals were in the hunt and needed another arm in the pen, Ventura would be an acceptable move, just to get him accustomed to the big leagues.

  • Noel Arguelles, the 23 year old Cuban defector, will be another familiar face to the Naturals fans as he returns to the rotation, and was named Opening Day starter.  Arguelles had a promising 2011 season with Wilmington coming off shoulder surgery.  Last season was a different story.  Going 4-14 with a 6.41 era in 25 starts doesn't look appealing on paper.  Although he has returned to normal velocity, which was low 90's, he showed great control last year, which is a baby step.  If velocity can return in Springdale, he could get back on track.  If it doesn't, our $7 million put into him goes down the drain.




Saturday, March 23, 2013

Prospect Countdown: #9 Jason Adam


9. Jason Adam Right Handed Pitcher



www.milb.com
Age: 21
Position: RHP
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 219
B/T: R/R
Acquired: Drafted in the 5th Round of the 2010 Amateur Draft
From: Overland Park, KS



Paden Bennett (9):  Jason Adam doesn't have fantastic stuff, but he does have great control.  Control can take you a long way in baseball, just ask guys like Tom Glavine and Greg Maddux.  Jason Adam is only 21 years old and has had success in A ball to the tune of a 3.53 era in 158 innings pitched along with only 18 walks last season.  Those numbers are impressive.  I really like Jason Adam and I see his upside as high as a number 2 starter if he can continue to throw strikes.  I hope to see Adam in NWA this season.

Joe Cox (14)Jason Adam is a local Kansas City prospect acquired in the fifth round of the 2010 draft.  Adam does not feature dominating stuff, but he does have good command of his pitches and should have three average to above average pitches in his fastball, curveball and changeup.  Adam was pretty impressive in high A last year over 27 starts.  Adam ended the year with a 3.53 ERA while walking only 36 batters and striking out 123 over 158 innings.  He did give up 18 home runs and his ERA outdid his 4.05 FIP.  The 6’4, 225 pound Adam has the potential to be a workhouse at the major league level as a 3 or 4 starter and has one of the highest floors of all the top prospects in the system.

Damion Mandalas (10):  As Joe touched on, Adam has a relatively safe floor for a 21 year old that has yet to throw an inning over A ball. At this point Adam's stuff probably limits him to the upside of a 3 or 4 starter. However, the if Adam can tap back into the velocity that he showed off in 2010 instructs, his ceiling would rise. Adam should start 2013 in Northwest Arkansas, where he will work to tap into more velocity, gain consistency in his speed to the plate, and improve against the running game.

Dan Ware (8):   Adam has been able to prove in his first 2 seasons as a pro that he has the capability to pitch deep into the season and get you innings.  The numbers from 2012 for Jason were solid: 158 innings in 27 starts which averages out to be close to 6 innings a start, which I'll take.  His 3.53 ERA was well below the Carolina league average of 4.00 and his K/BB ratio was solid as well.  His struggle last season was trying to keep the flyballs inside the park, giving up 18 HR and posting a high HR/OFB%.

Jason has a 93-97 fastball, a curve that can definitely turn into a good plus pitch, and a changeup that has the potential of being an above average off-speed pitch.  Going more in-depth, Adam's delivery to the plate is very slow and in 2010, he allowed 27 stolen bases in 30 chances for 90% SB rate, which verifies that his approach to the plate is somewhat stagnant.  Last season in Wilmington, he dropped that rate substantially, allowing 21 stolen bases in 30 chances for a 70% rate.  Aside from his delivery, Jason is very talented and works extremely hard and if he impresses this spring, he'll most likely start off with Northwest Arkansas, which you will not hear me complain about at all.

Total Points: 83

Sunday, May 20, 2012

Looking Ahead: The Rotation

Unfortunately, we are 40 games into the season and the Royals sit just 16-24. It doesn't take an astute observer to point out that the major flaw of this team and largest hindrance on future optimism has been its rotation. So what are we looking at to open 2013? Can the rotation at least be average? 

Potential Rotation Members Returning:

  • Luke Hochevar
  • Felipe Paulino
  • Bruce Chen
  • Danny Duffy* (Won't be back until June at the earliest.)
If you are still a believer in Hochevar, the Royals are two starters short, if not Kansas City will need to fill three spots. What the Royals do with these two openings will be critical, if they play it safe as they did last off season, an average rotation is likely a pipe dream. But let's keep in mind that the Royals may not necessarily have to fill all the open spots via free agency. So who could be ready from the farm?

  • Mike Montgomery- With 35 starts in AAA, it'll just take a few dominate starts for Montgomery to break into the majors. Considering he has about 20 starts left in this season, he'll likely be ready to bust in next season. (We hope.)
  • Will Smith- People tend to forget about Smith, because the upside just isn't as high for the former Angels farmhand. But the Royals feel very strongly that he has a near Major League arm and that eventually he could hold down a spot at the back of the rotation.
  • Jake Odorizzi- Having proven himself in AA, he has the remainder of the summer to do the same in Omaha. He may not open in Kansas City next season, but there's a good chance he'll be in the mix to do so. 
(I've chosen not to include either Chris Dwyer or John Lamb because both have yet to prove themselves in AA. They could easily break into the Majors at some point in 2013, but we're looking at what the rotation could be to open the season.)

There's another guy that should be given the chance to start in 2013. The Royals paid a lot of lip service to Aaron Crow in the rotation entering 2012, but when Joakim Soria lost his season to Tommy John, the Royals felt Crow was needed to much in the bullpen. Considering the way the rotation has gone thus far, come mid-August Crow absolutely should be given the opportunity to start every fifth day. If Crow pitches even average in that month and a half, he should be given a rotation spot entering 2013.

So there's seven possibilities heading into 2013. If two out of Montgomery, Odorizzi, and Crow show they are ready to hold down rotation spots the Royals rotation will already receive an upgrade. Sure there would be some growing pains, but the talent and upside would be there. 

I also find it very unlikely that the front office would keep their hands out of free agency should the rotation continue to be as bad as it has been thus far. Fortunately for Kansas City, the upcoming free agent crop appears to be strong on the pitching side of things. The most intriguing name of the group for most of us is Zack Greinke. Personally, I expect him to be priced way out of the Royals range.

Another name to keep an eye on would be Kansas City's own and Missouri State prospect Shaun Marcum. If the Royals were able to net any hometown discount at all he would make a ton of sense. In seven seasons he boasts a career 3.74 ERA with a career K/BB of 2.64. 

Obviously, the road bump that Mike Montgomery has encountered is nerve racking. Clearly, the current rotation is a cause for concern. However, Chen continues to defy odds and it isn't hard to imagine him at least being a serviceable back end guy in 2013. Paulino could be the best starter on the roster. Personally, I could see him as a 2 or 3 on an average staff. If the Royals go get a free agent the Royals will have a make shift 1 (albeit most likely not an ace).

Finally, out of Luke Hochevar, Mike Montgomery, Jake Odorizzi, Nate Adcock and Will Smith, you need two to be the 3 and 4 starters. Obviously, several of the aforementioned guys offer more upside than the Royals have had in past rotations. Oh, and don't forget Danny Duffy will be back in June and John Lamb, Chris Dwyer, Jason Adam, and Yordano Ventura could be knocking at the door soon after. 

The Royals don't necessarily need to trade for a front end starter. The possibility exists that the rotation could be stronger next year than this year simply by giving the right guys the opportunity. I'd prefer to see the Royals take a more aggressive approach. There are free agents that would make sense, that could round out the front end. There's no reason to sell out for the ace, if the Kansas City's in contention next July, maybe then it will be time.

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Prospect Countdown: #11 Jason Adam

#11 Jason Adam


Age: 20
Position: RHP
Height: 6-4
Weight: 225
Acquired: Drafted in the 5th Round of the 2010 Amateur Draft
From: Overland Park, KS





Drafted in 2010, Jason Adam required an $800K signing bonus from Kansas City to stay off the University of Missouri's campus. The Royals love Adam's upside. In high school and the Instructional League he routinely displayed a 93-97 mph fastball. His curveball has shown signs of being a plus pitch and his change could one day be another above average offering.

In his first professional season, Adam's fastball dipped to the upper 80s and low 90s range once he had to pitch every fifth day. Hopefully the dip in velocity is a result to a new routine and more innings, and it will rise as Adam adjusts to professional life. The other concern with Adam in 2011 was his delivery which was called "glacially slow to the plate" by Baseball America. In fact, Adam allowed 27 of 30 base stealers to achieve their goal.

Adam wasn't dominate in the Midwest League, but he did enough to show Royals prospect hounds why the organization was so exited about his future. Particularly of my liking was the .235/.288/.370 slash line that Adam yielded to opposing Midwest League hitters. Adam has mid rotation potential and he should open 2012 in Wilmington's bullpen.

Photo taken from mbd.scout.com

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Prospect Countdown: 20-16

20. David Lough OF



I am definitely a big fan in the David Lough camp. After breaking out in 2009, he made a bit of noise at spring training prior to the 2010 season and I fully expected him to be called up after the deadline to replace one of the traded outfielders. This unfortunately didn't happen as Lough got off to a semi slow start in the Pacific Coast League. But what happened in the second half of the season for Lough was something that makes me even more optimistic of his future.

Prior to the all star break Lough had drawn 19 walks to 33 strikeouts in 302 at bats. His triple slash was .262/.313/.424. Obviously this is part of the reason why Lough was not given an opportunity at the big league level post trade deadline. However from that point on Lough's approach at the plate took a huge step forward from where it had been in his previous three and a half seasons.

In the second half of the season Lough posted a k:bb of 25:21. In 158 at bats he hit to a tune of .316/.403/.462. This improved plate approach helped Lough in the contact and power departments. Also, given that the major complaint against Lough was his average driven on base percentage, if these numbers are a sign of things to come then his stock only rises.

I am a fan of Lough game. He has solid tools across the board, but no real plus tools. Royals' fans often throw out comparisons to DeJesus when talking about Lough and I suppose this is fair. Although it does seem like anytime the Royals have a prospect that is solid, but doesn't have any plus tools he gets DDJ comparisons. I believe that Lough has more speed than DeJesus and could even have more power. But I believe DeJesus still gets the nod in defense, arm and plate discipline.

Lough is an athletic player that could be a defensive asset in left field. He seems like a great guy every time I have had the opportunity to talk with him (twice). He could be a very valuable fourth outfielder for a contending team and a guy that other team's would like to give more at bats as a starter.

What Gordon does in 2011 will play a significant role in Lough's future as a Royal. Given that it is hard to see Francouer as a Royals for just one season. If Gordon performs as most expect him to, Lough will be a fourth outfield option for the team. However, if Gordon struggles or if the Royals do cut ties with Francouer I hope that Lough is granted an everyday opportunity. You have to be intrigued by a guy that posts 15 doubles, 12 triples, and 11 homers in a season. (Especially when he would be moving to the triple friendly Kauffman Stadium.)

19. Jason Adam

Entering the 2010 first year player draft, I thought that Yasmani Grandal was likely to be the guy. However, the Royals threw everyone a changeup when they selected Christian Colon with their first round selection. The other thing that I expected was that the Royals would find Jason Adam at some point later in the draft and that they would then sign him to an over-slot deal much like the one Tim Melville had received a couple years before. This prediction came true when the Royals selected Jason Adam with their fifth round pick and signed him to an over-slot bonus of $800K.

Like Melville, Adam was another local product actually living roughly 20 miles away from Kauffman Stadium. So the Royals did not want to let a local product slip through the grasps and it is a good thing they didn't. In instructs Adam received glowing reviews from Royals officials as his fastball routinely sat in the mid 90s. He also flashed promising secondary offerings with a curveball in the high 70s and a low 80s change-up.

I expect Adam to stay back in extended spring training as a way to limit his innings in his first season. But after that he should report to low-a Kane County for the 2011 season.

18. Cheslor Cuthbert



Cheslor Cuthbert was one of the big international signees for the Royals in 2009. He was hailed as the top prospect to ever come from Nicaragua. He actually came from a small island off the coast of the country called the Corn Island. On this island they speak primarily English and so Cuthbert will be without the burden of learning both a new language and culture as he makes his way into professional baseball.

This is probably a major factor in the Royals decision to begin him in the states as just as seventeen year old. His final numbers weren't spectacular but when put in perspective they provide plenty of reason for optimism. His season was going very well until a hand or wrist injury wound up ending his season. Considering the kid was already playing against competition years older than him, it isn't surprising that an injury such as this could have brought a quick statistical collapse to his season.

Cuthbert won't win many races but he has good bat speed and an advanced approach at the plate. When signed several said he could one day develop into an Adrian Beltre type player. Since he is projected to have good power and strong defense I would say this is a fair comparison.

The Royals say there is no reason to be concerned about the injury and I don't see any reason to be. Cuthbert will probably stay in short season ball for 2011, but it is possible that he could start the season in Kane County if he really impresses the Royals in Spring Training.


17. Yordano Ventura




In 2008, the Royals signed Yordano Ventura out of he Dominican for $28K. But as it usually goes on the international market the best players tend to not be the fattest bonus babies. Ventura represents a good piece for the Royals scouting department. When he signed he stood 5-11 with about a 140 pounds on his thin frame. He threw in the high 80s at the time, but now he has added twenty pounds and he throws absolute gas.

His fastball is a plus-plus pitch that consistently sits in the upper 90s. He also throws an improving curveball that some project as a plus pitch and a changeup has shown flashes. Being 5-11 and Dominican, Ventura has drawn comparisons to Pedro Martinez. It seems to me as though every promising short Dominican righty draws comparisons to Pedro so I am not going to get too worked up about this.

The Royals should continue to play it safe with an arm with as much potential as Ventura's. Steadily improve the workload as he is progressed through the minors. However, first sign of trouble I wouldn't be opposed to moving him to the pen where he instantly becomes a future closer. If he can prove that he can handle the workload he has front end potential written all over him.

Ventura should spend 2011 in short season ball in either the Appalachian or Pioneer League.

16. Robinson Yambati



Given their similar ascension up the Royals prospect charts, their nationalities, and their ability to throw heat Ventura and Robinson Yambati could be discussed as a pair for a long time. Yambati has larger frame than Ventura as he stands at 6-3, 185. For this reason I am going to give Yambati the slight odd, because his body type doesn't scare me quite like Ventura's does.

Yambati's fastball isn't quite on Ventura's level but he has hit the mid 90s on the gun before. He also has curve and a change that both need development. Given his size I expect him to stick in the rotation and one day he could play a critical role for the organization as a rookie and on. Just imagine in 2015 the Royals are in a thick playoff race and a starter goes down due to injury. The Royals call up Yambati and instantly he steps right in and succeeds.

Yambati and Ventura are going to be part of a group of guys that will be called upon in crucial situations as rookies and second year guys. They are the guys that will be asked to fill the shows of their older counterparts. Think Tampa Bay Rays, who the past couple of years have had a wealth of pitching talent to take advantage of at the major league level.

Yambati could make the jump to Kane County at somepoint in 2011, or he could spend the season in short season ball building up his innings count as he prepares for the workload that full season baseball offers.